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Is this bet flop fine?
MemberMay 21, 2020 at 5:32 pm
<div>So the first question is preflop. Villain has a 3bet of 3.8% so he is pretty tight and despite being BU vs SB I’m not sure about calling 3-bet with this hand. Helper says it’s a call with an EV of -3.33 so I guess I could addapt vs a tighter range and just fold.</div>
On the other hand villain will be more face up towards aces but is that a thing? I believe tighter than GTO Range is more of a reason to fold than a “face up range” a reason to call. What do you think?
In the flop I thought I could make him fold a good ammount of equity, weak aces and some overcards so I just bet 50%. Do you think it’s a good bet? I don’t think this kind of villain is ever check//raising light so I’m not affraid of being thrown out of my equity.
Finally in the river he shows KQQ9 and he didn’t convert it into a bluff which is a big mistake in my oppinion. I think my range doesn’t have too many 9x after my line because if I had 2pair+9, or a simple OESD+pair I’d really often check behind flop so I’m pretty polar in the river and I believe he has an easy bluff. On the other hand I’m capped and he is not so maybe he could just Potbet it and even make me fold a straight sometimes since it’s weird to find a bluff in his line.
What bluff sizing would you use in river in his spot?
MemberMay 26, 2020 at 7:45 am
Preflop I think calling is the right play here. Your hand performs fine against AAxx. If your opponent has a 4% 3-betting range, you should start folding the bottom of your calling range that is blocked to improve by AAxx. So hands like AKQ6 triple-suited. Connected hands such as QJ87, will perform fine enough against this face up range.
Flop stab I think it totally fine, with the nut-gutshot and overcards to better 2-pair, we have a good amount of equity vs his check/calling range and can avoid some ugly turns for our range, when it goes x/x. I would say that this hand should be the bottom of your stabbing range, for value.
I like the way you’ve played turn/river.