5CARDS , REALLY HARD SPOT

  • Battlechaser

    Member
    January 28, 2021 at 11:13 am

    Yeah I dont think you can call here since you can easily be drawing to two out here.

  • Endboss1

    Member
    January 28, 2021 at 6:51 pm

    Mathematically approaching the topic, based on pot odds you need 22.5% to stack off. The possibility that at least one from your wild opponents has at least trips is pretty high and close to 100% given that they both stack off on this board(even though that wasn’t the case here, its pretty rare to see two players on 5 cards plo stackoff on paired board without trips). So against an opponent with trips and 4 other random cards(maybe include a 2 also which gives him a flopped house), you have around 28% equity. So this is a +EV call based on maths.

    • This reply was modified 2 years, 7 months ago by  Endboss1.
    • Endboss1

      Member
      January 28, 2021 at 6:56 pm

      Also, if you know your opponents are wild as seen they are here, your call is even more +EV against their wild ranges which can contain hands not including trips as we see here. But this is very rare occasion for 5 cards PLO.

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